Mamata Banergee Wins In West Bengal

On one hand where the cases of corona virus infections are being counted in the country, On the other hand, on 2nd May the election results were counted from whose rallies the corona virus actually spread. And the results are very shocking. 

If we talk especially of West Bengal, Everything predicted by the exit polls turned out to be wrong. Not one or two, all of the exit polls failed badly. 

They predicted that TMC would get at most180 seats. But in reality, TMC got an almost two-thirds majority. Not only did they cross the 200 mark, But their performance also was better than in the last Bengal election. Not only the media,the Home Minister of the country, Amit Shah, had also predicted the result very confidently after every phase of the elections. After the first phase, he had said the BJP Will win 26 out of the 30 seats. 

After five phases he had said that BJP had already won 122 seats. And overall he had said that BJP will cross the 200 mark. But this did not happen. Often politicians put across such claims to build up the narrative. So that there is good momentum in the elections. It's not a big deal. But there was one predictions here big stakes were involved. The predictions of the political strategist Prashant Kishore. He had said that BJP will not cross the 100mark. The number of seats they win will not be in 3 digits. 

If they do win, he'll leave his profession. Not only did his predictions come true. But they came true at the time when the whole media  ran with the exact opposite claim. After winning the election, he accused The Election Commission of a very serious crime. Generally, it is when parties lose the election that they blame the EVMs or Election Commission. But here, even after winning with a two-thirds majority, he said that the Election Commission tried its best to help BJP win. And this happened for the very first time in the history of the country. That the Election Commission was so biased towards a party. "With a blatant -blatantly partial Election Commission, We went through hell. They allowed - they gave the free hand to BJP to do whatever they wanted to do." He gave several reasons for this. First, stretching the election for 8 phases. Just take the scheduling of the election,8 rounds, in the pandemic time, what made you do this? Only because you wanted to give more opportunities to the BJP leaders to come and campaign. Second, designing the election phases in such a way that in the first couple of phases the areas where BJP is stronger goes to the election. And in the areas and districts where TMC is strong, conducting elections in each of those districts in four phases there. 

So that no momentum can be build up. In the last, so many years, when a districtwas carved out in four phases? Just because the district was supposedly seenas a Trinamool stronghold. That district polled in four phases? Just because you wanted to have 4 seats, 5seats, 10 seats so that no momentum can be built in favourof Trinamool. The bulk of the seats that BJP won in LokSabha went for poll early. Is it a coincidence? Third, using religion, all the religious politicsused during the campaigning allowing it to continue. And not taking any action against those politiciansthat are politicising Hindus-Muslims. 

If we talk about religious politics,then some people are still trying to drive a wedge between Hindus and Muslims even after this election. It is especially seen frequently by the BJP supporters. They're saying that the TMC's win in the election is because of their minority vote bank. That all the Muslims come together to vote for TMC. And these same people curse Hindus for not voting for their party.

 They wonder if the people know that the Hindus in Bengal are in danger. That all the Hindus should come together to vote for their party. This same strategy is used every time in every state. They believe that they can scare and fool Hindus to get their votes. But let me tell you the reality, friends. In Bengal, 70% of the population is Hindu. And if you see the vote share of TMC,it is almost touching 50%. By seeing this you might say that around 20%of the Hindus voted for TMC. But even simple maths doesn't show the reality. In many seats in the South West area of Bengal,the Muslim population is less than 5%. But see that all the seats there have been won by TMC by a large margin. 

This data clearly shows that labelling every thing as Hindu or Muslim needs to be stopped. Even though BJP lost in West Bengal if you see the overall results of all the five states, Then it is not an embarrassing defeat for BJP. They have become the main opposition party in West Bengal. They had won less than 10 seats in the last election. Apart from this, the BJP Alliances have clearly won Assam and Puducherry. And reality, friends, is that this is more of a loss for Congress than BJP. Congress lost the States of Assam and Puducherry. And in West Bengal, they lost their role as the opposition. And in Kerala, 

LDF's victory was historic. For the last 40 years in Kerala, LDF and UDF have been winning alternatively. But this time it didn't happen and LDF won its second continuous term. This is also a big loss for Congress. If Congress really wants to win, then theyneed strong local leaders. It has been seen time and again in the last several elections. Wherever there has been a strong opposition leader, it was easy to defeat BJP. Be it Amarinder Singh of Punjab. Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi. West Bengal's Mamta Banerjee. Rajasthan's Sachin Pilot. Or even Tejashwi Yadav in Bihar. He fought well too. This is very easily applicable to BJP as well. BJP loses in those States where they rely heavily on PM Narendra Modi and the Home Minister. And there is no strong local leader. They didn't have anyone strong to face Arvind Kejriwal in Delhi. The same was true in West Bengal. There was no CM candidate. 

Now that we're talking of the CM candidate, another interesting thing happened in the West Bengal election, friends. Where on one hand TMC won with almost a majority of two-thirds, On the other hand, the Chief Minister candidate Mamta Banerjee lost the election for her own seat. This seat was from the Nandigram constituency, with a margin of 1736 votes. She lost the seat with a very small margin. Many people said that Mamta Banerjee should run for the election from 2 seats. Because the chances of losing are much higher if running for only 1 seat. 

This seat was very controversial because there was a strong local leader. A politician who used to be in TMC earlier. But it was a matter of pride for Mamta Banerjee And also a way to keep her supporters motivated. That's why she ran for only 1 seat. In 2014, when Narendra Modi was running for the election, he ran for two seats as well. From Varanasi and from his seat in Gujrat. Then people had mocked him as well. People would've mocked Mamta Banerjee too had she ran for 2 seats. But anyway, the question that arises is what will happen now? When the CM candidate loses the election but the party wins in it. Can they be the CM candidate? Can Mamta Banerjee be the CM now? The answer to this question, friends, is YES. It hasn't happened for the first time in the country. 

There are several precedents. For Mamta Banerjee to become the CM,One MLA has to resign. And there will be by elections for that seat. In which Mamta Banerjee will run. And she'll have to win in the byelection within 6 months. To become the CM. That's the rule. It sounds very complicated but in reality, it is not so. Mostly, the CM candidates win the by elections easily. But setting aside all this politics, The real issue in the country today is Covid-19. Due to which people are dying every single day. Recently in a hospital in Delhi, more than 10 people died because of the oxygen shortage. It is surprising, friends, that if you see the data of the allotment of oxygen to each State by the Central Government. 

You'd see that Delhi is the only state where the oxygen allotment is far below the requirement. Delhi needs more than 700MT oxygen But the Central Government has allocated only 490MT to Delhi. Compared to the rest of the states, Delhi is suffering the worst. Some people say that the State governments should also be blamed and that the Central government is being blamed excessively. But allocating oxygen to all the states is the responsibility of the Central Government solely. 

When the state governments try to get oxygen themselves, they aren't allowed to do so without the Central Government's permission. Look at this example. The day that people died because of the shortage of oxygen, they couldn't even deliver the allocated 490MT of oxygen. The Delhi High Court had reprimanded the Central Government because of this. They said that if the oxygen cannot be supplied by them, Contempt of Court will be issued against them. 

After the High Court's statement, the Central Government had increased the oxygen allocated to Delhi by 100MT to a total of 590MT. But this decision was so late that now Delhi's oxygen requirement has surpassed 900MT. And even now, it isn't enough. The famous Dr. Fauci of the US has given some recommendations and solutions to the government. To manage this oxygen crisis. He said that the Government should form an expert group with relevant experts and scientists who will work to monitor the oxygen supply and its source and to allocate it properly. To manage everything well experts are needed. The government is yet to do it. The government is simply relying on their politicians who were too busy with the Bengal elections to take any action. Nowadays, countries across the world are ready to help India. To supply oxygen. But because of the government's mismanagement and centralised approach this isn't working out properly. 

The government wants to control everythingitself. Which states should get the oxygen; How much;From where? Where will the drugs be procured from? They want to manage everything themselves. But if the government delegates this work to a team of experts to the Emergency Commission, The work will be made easier and will be done properly. His second recommendation is that the paramilitary forces be empowered, the Indian Army and the Indian Air force be used, new hospitals should be built quickly,preparations for vaccination should be done, new beds should be put in as well. Already, the government has empowered the Indian Military to an extent for doing all these. The long-term solution to overcoming this crisis is only vaccination.